Slim,
Great points about the Stark article. I also felt he left out an important consideration, the fact that they are a cult. This abuse of their followers has ramifications, and makes it difficult to compare them with other religions who don't use mind manipulation. I believe it is something that should be factored into any analysis of the organization.
I also agree it's difficult to run a cult without a firm expectation that the "end" will come in the next few years. While the WT maintains this is still true, as you pointed out, there is the problem of their change in the "generation" doctrine. I wouldn't be surprised, however, if there isn't a little uptick in the rate of growth for the next few years, even in developed countries. They will exploit the economic crisis for all it's worth, and certain of their followers will buy into that, at least until it is resolved and things go back to normal.
I will check into The Trumpet of Prophecy. It sounds interesting.
I agree that they cut their own throat when they decided to avoid taxes and offer the literature on a contribution only basis. I can't help but think they would have done better seperating the religion out from the publishing company and operating it as a for profit entity, even if they had to pay taxes. On the other hand, publishing companies aren't doing that well these days anyway, so maybe they would be in the same boat no matter what.
I agree that they are always willing to spin their decisions in ways that mislead their critics as the Bulgaria situation bears out. We'll have to wait and watch what they do. I don't envy them. It's not easy to run a cult these days. They have created their own problems so many times on so many issues. My guess is they will continue to do so.